Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
horvf
0x242ea35d1e08127f5b229f1ee3c847454d62e2cb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.35
- Realized PnL
- $28.85
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $23.19
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $6.49
- Potential profit
- $6.41
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $0.82
- Potential payout
- $6.06
- Potential profit
- $5.24
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.13
- Potential profit
- $5.13
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.8%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $4.52
- Potential profit
- $3.36
- Multiplier
- 3.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $3.06
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $3.17
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.17
- Potential profit
- $3.17
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $2.94
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.63
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $2.56
- Potential profit
- $1.45
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $2.56
- Potential profit
- $1.6
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.44
- Potential profit
- $2.44
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $2.38
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.31
- Potential profit
- $2.31
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $1.96
- Potential profit
- $1.11
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.89
- Potential profit
- $1.89
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $1.72
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 39% 2.56 shares
- Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?No 58% 1.72 shares
- Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?No 78% 1.28 shares
- Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?No 91% 1.1 shares
- Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?No 73% 1.37 shares
- Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?No 90% 1.11 shares
- Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?No 77% 1.3 shares
- Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?No 76% 1.32 shares
- Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?No 77% 1.3 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 99.2% 1.22 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 8.26 shares
- Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?No 88% 1.14 shares