Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $87.05
- Potential payout
- $103.01
- Potential profit
- $15.97
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $2.05
Polymarket Trader
Gustaves
@bertoskates1
0x2432d351ede907c2c333d73c7cfc14a819177fb0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $168.31
- Realized PnL
- $366.39
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.3%
- Current value
- $18.8
- Potential payout
- $58.31
- Potential profit
- $39.5
- Multiplier
- 3.10x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $24.78
- Potential payout
- $53.3
- Potential profit
- $28.51
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.2%
- Current value
- $27.07
- Potential payout
- $29.38
- Potential profit
- $2.31
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.58
- Potential profit
- $22.58
- User PnL
- -$21
No position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.23
- Potential profit
- $20.23
- User PnL
- -$19.3
No position
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.96
- Potential profit
- $15.96
- User PnL
- -$15
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.9%
- Current value
- $10.61
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $1.89
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.91
No position
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.86
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.66
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.64
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.45
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.21
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.53
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
No position
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
Spurs position
Mavericks vs. Spurs
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 82.5% 103.01 shares
- Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No 46.9% 53.3 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 34.3% 58.31 shares
- Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No 91.9% 29.38 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No 96% 12.5 shares
- Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No 96.8% 17.15 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 86% 39.53 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes 93.2% 108.76 shares
- Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 83% 20.48 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes 92.8% 108.86 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes 40.2% 26.18 shares
- Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 93.9% 106.45 shares