jay1994

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $473.75
Potential profit: $473.75
User PnL: -$20.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $415.55
Potential profit: $415.55
User PnL: -$6

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $412.11
Potential profit: $412.11
User PnL: -$7.83

Yes position

Will Trump's remarks not air?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $346.29
Potential profit: $346.29
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 18, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $267.6
Potential profit: $267.6
User PnL: -$27.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $236.38
Potential profit: $236.38
User PnL: -$6.43

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 8, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $211.21
Potential profit: $211.21
User PnL: -$29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.65
Potential profit: $151.65
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.04
Potential profit: $150.04
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.89
Potential profit: $108.89
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $77.84
Potential profit: $77.64
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$7.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.37
Potential profit: $76.37
User PnL: -$9.98

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.07
Potential profit: $70.07
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $65.73
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$0.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.71
Potential profit: $59.71
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $17.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET