Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $32.14
- Potential payout
- $7.14K
- Potential profit
- $7.11K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$17.86
Polymarket Trader
iie.aie
0x244d4f8289c53f3ee16a46d3014d51ddf21c8c2d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $701.7
- Realized PnL
- $289.12
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $613.92
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$63.58
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $712.32
- Potential profit
- $712.32
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $530
- Potential profit
- $530
- User PnL
- -$406.97
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$160
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $434.78
- Potential profit
- $434.78
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $404.08
- Potential profit
- $404.08
- User PnL
- -$178
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $55.64
- Potential payout
- $80.65
- Potential profit
- $25.01
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $5.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $309.1
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.18
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.57
Yes position
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.78
Yes position
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$265.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 24% 1,666.67 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 92% 159.31 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 76.9% 30 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 38% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 38% 28.25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 37% 26 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 36% 3.18 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 58% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 58% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 58% 100 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Yes 1.4% 712.32 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.7% 7,142.86 shares