Yes position
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.87
- Potential payout
- $348.15
- Potential profit
- $347.28
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.13
Polymarket Trader
tester0d44
0x24556d9f44dcd68da63d371fe57f60a3ed06a70f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $116.79
- Realized PnL
- $2.98K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.44
- Potential payout
- $288.89
- Potential profit
- $287.45
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.56
Yes position
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $145.29
- Potential profit
- $145.07
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.78
Yes position
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.7%
- Current value
- $10.67
- Potential payout
- $84.03
- Potential profit
- $73.36
- Multiplier
- 7.87x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $5.39
- Potential payout
- $59.85
- Potential profit
- $54.46
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$4.61
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14.3%
- Current value
- $7.93
- Potential payout
- $55.46
- Potential profit
- $47.53
- Multiplier
- 7.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.07
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $7.42
- Potential payout
- $42.38
- Potential profit
- $34.96
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.58
Yes position
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $5.83
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $35.83
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$4.17
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $3.46
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $35
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$6.54
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $4.83
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $29.66
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$5.17
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $5.65
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $26.61
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.35
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $8.51
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $18.51
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.49
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $26.03
- Potential profit
- $25.94
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$9.91
Yes position
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.57
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.76
Yes position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $8.33
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $13.89
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $6.82
- Potential payout
- $21.65
- Potential profit
- $14.83
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$3.18
Yes position
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.9%
- Current value
- $8.1
- Potential payout
- $17.67
- Potential profit
- $9.57
- Multiplier
- 2.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $2.96
- Potential payout
- $17.4
- Potential profit
- $14.44
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$7.04
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $2.33
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $14.91
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$7.67
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $9.13
- Potential payout
- $15.87
- Potential profit
- $6.75
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $15.48
- Potential profit
- $15.14
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- -$9.66
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $11.43
- Potential payout
- $15.23
- Potential profit
- $3.81
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $1.42
Yes position
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $15.01
- Potential profit
- $14.85
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$9.83
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $14.34
- Potential profit
- $9.68
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$5.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Uber Technologies (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $414.8
Yes position
Will WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $328.5
No position
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $328.5
No position
Will American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.78
No position
Will Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.77
No position
Will The Gap (GAP) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.59
Yes position
Will CoStar Group (CSGP) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.95
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $117.22
Yes position
Will Hyatt Hotels (H) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.96
Yes position
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
No position
Will Grab Holdings (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.4
No position
Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.18
No position
Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.32
Yes position
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.84
Yes position
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.03
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.34
Yes position
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.18
Yes position
Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.89
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.76
Yes position
Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.84
No position
Will WD-40 Company (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.86
No position
Will Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.9
Yes position
Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.43
No position
Will Capital One (COF) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 83.7% 39.95 shares
- Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?Yes 0.4% 884.47 shares
- Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?Yes 81% 62.5 shares
- ECB rate hike in 2026?Yes 98.1% 24.75 shares
- Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Yes 92% 10 shares
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes 71% 12.5 shares
- Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes 94.7% 12.59 shares
- Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes 97.2% 29.41 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes 99.9% 15.67 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?Yes 98.5% 16.94 shares
- Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?Yes 83% 72.14 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Yes 61% 16.39 shares