0x245D19b04ac0aD7a88cEF3FDfe81FEE5fc824271-1766584302266

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$1.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 21.7%
Current value: $5.43
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $19.58
Multiplier: 4.61x
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $12
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $13
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $4.53
Potential payout: $24.5
Potential profit: $19.97
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$3.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.9
Potential profit: $22.9
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.9
Potential profit: $22.9
User PnL: -$6.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.8
Potential profit: $22.8
User PnL: -$7.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.3
Potential profit: $22.3
User PnL: -$3.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.2
Potential profit: $18.2
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.1
Potential profit: $17.1
User PnL: -$5.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.99
Potential profit: $15.99
User PnL: -$2.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $3.38
Potential payout: $15.7
Potential profit: $12.32
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $10.15
Potential payout: $15.49
Potential profit: $5.34
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $2.77
Potential payout: $14.99
Potential profit: $12.22
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.85
Potential profit: $14.85
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $7.98
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $6.02
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $2.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $13.15
Potential payout: $13.53
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $9.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $13.51
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.36

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.26

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET