Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $4.96
- Potential payout
- $104.5
- Potential profit
- $99.54
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Polymarket Trader
0x2470...66e4
0x2470e1dfc3bdea109697843b072014ddb55166e4
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $43.31
- Realized PnL
- $106.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $50.98
- Potential profit
- $48.53
- Multiplier
- 20.83x
- User PnL
- -$3.31
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.6%
- Current value
- $11.65
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $12.35
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $1.74
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $7.38
- Potential payout
- $15.71
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 150 and 160?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $3.73
- Potential payout
- $13.58
- Potential profit
- $9.85
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $6.01
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $5.89
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $5.3
- Potential payout
- $11.64
- Potential profit
- $6.35
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.8%
- Current value
- $1.82
- Potential payout
- $4.47
- Potential profit
- $2.64
- Multiplier
- 2.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Argentina position
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.62
Yes position
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
Yes position
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First Half
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Switzerland position
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Barbora Krejcikova position
Athens Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Qinwen Zheng
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
Japan position
Spread: Japan (-1.5)
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Yes position
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61
Yes position
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Under 2.5 position
Facundo Acosta vs. Alexis Galarneau: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
England position
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Athens Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Qinwen ZhengBarbora Krejcikova 73% 13.45 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 51% 5.76 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 42.1% 6.93 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 50% 5.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETUp 58% 1.72 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETUp 70% 6.96 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes 54% 1.48 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes 56% 0.04 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.3% 1.24 shares
- England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes 38% 10.66 shares
- England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceEngland 73.8% 9.04 shares
- England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes 27% 10.67 shares