No position
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $574.44
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $647.78
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$467.86
Polymarket Trader
jonnyquakes
0x2480d18ea391bda8f9dbb38431fa591517c63c00
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.06K
- Realized PnL
- -$88.97
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $483.01
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $627.36
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$465.18
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.33
- Potential profit
- $60.33
- User PnL
- -$27.76
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.85
- Potential profit
- $38.85
- User PnL
- -$23.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $81.03
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $55.22
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.65
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.18
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.29
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.56
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.6
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.16
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.34
No position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
Yes position
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Megaquake by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.79
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$2.94
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.58
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.49
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$35.69
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$97.04
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$114.52
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$134.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 85.4% 1,110.37 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 60.2% 50.45 shares
- Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 87% 1,111.11 shares
- Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 67.7% 111.11 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 84.4% 159.94 shares
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 4.2% 11.1 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 68.9% 111.11 shares
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 4.5% 5.55 shares
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 4.5% 5.55 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 48% 11.1 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 67% 5.55 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 64% 5.55 shares