Polymarket Trader

kusamaa

0x2482e286d570f24c21ad612638b75f464bc567b1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.15K
Realized PnL: $2.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $184.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $815.5
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $23.5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $128.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $871.5
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $22.12

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $117.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $882.5
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $26.5

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $15.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $984.5
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $136.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $863.5
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$32.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $73.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $926.5
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$37.66

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $39.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $960.5
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $25.4
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $974.6
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $58.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $941.5
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $5.7

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $66.5
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $933.48
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$18.5

Yes position

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$4.07

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.2%
Current value: $64.6
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $335.4
Multiplier: 6.19x
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $304.76
Potential profit: $304.76
User PnL: -$37.89

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$82

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $46.5
Potential payout: $299.98
Potential profit: $253.48
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $15.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $184.3
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $97
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $103
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $41

No position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $70
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $30
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $317.83

Yes position

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270

Yes position

Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.28

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $217.32

Yes position

Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.56

Yes position

Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.05

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.42

No position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $74.16

No position

Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.17

No position

Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.66

No position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.34

No position

Will "Mortal Kombat 2" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.86

No position

Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than $17m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.25

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 18m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.23

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.55

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.4

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.64

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.46

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.65

No position

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.6

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

No position

Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 36m?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 1.5

Over 56.1% 200 shares
Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 1.5

Over 47% 200 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Yes 28% 100 shares
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?

Yes 12.3% 125 shares
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 2,000 shares
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?

Yes 1% 299.99 shares
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?

Yes 0.1% 400.41 shares
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?

Yes 1.5% 200 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.6% 1,000 shares
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?

No 88% 100 shares
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?

No 78% 100 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 680 shares