Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $33
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Polymarket Trader
AltarofWinds
0x2487411b6688ee50ad92dbc74e6d490143bba50c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.13
- Realized PnL
- $33.42
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $29.13
- Potential payout
- $32.18
- Potential profit
- $3.06
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.27
No position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will XRP reach $2.80 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 February 2-8?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 87% 32.18 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 59% 76.27 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 99.4% 46.34 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 97.1% 46.34 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No 91% 21.73 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No 92% 21.74 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?No 97.6% 21.23 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?No 98.9% 21.23 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 95% 21.87 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 96% 21.88 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.1% 21.6 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.2% 21.6 shares