Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Current value
- $33.77
- Potential payout
- $37.99
- Potential profit
- $4.22
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $3.91
Polymarket Trader
0x248b...c826
0x248b50b225f711e47c217e04eb4bffc91a73c826
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $40.27
- Realized PnL
- -$20.05
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $8.91
- Potential profit
- $2.4
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Y
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$22.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 78.6% 37.99 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 64% 8.91 shares
- Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 92% 50 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 13% 27.63 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 53% 77.76 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 56.3% 17.95 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 58% 95.72 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 54.1% 34.36 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 53% 24.53 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 54% 0.73 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 55% 3.94 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 69% 9.86 shares