Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.09K
- Potential profit
- $8.09K
- User PnL
- -$8.09
Polymarket Trader
Ultimus1
0x248f3a57e76ba9474543c46c2f56db2175cb4d41
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $154.31
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $4.5K
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.11K
- Potential profit
- $4.11K
- User PnL
- -$9
Pimblett position
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 31, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $429.23
- Potential profit
- $429.23
- User PnL
- -$5.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $415.71
- Potential profit
- $415.71
- User PnL
- -$2.91
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 3PM ET
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230.95
- Potential profit
- $230.95
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
XRP Up or Down - January 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.26
- Potential profit
- $148.26
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
XRP Up or Down - January 29, 6AM ET
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $136.38
- Potential profit
- $136.38
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 6AM ET
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.11
- Potential profit
- $135.11
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 6AM ET
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.01
- Potential profit
- $109.01
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
XRP Up or Down - January 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.58
- Potential profit
- $107.58
- User PnL
- -$4
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.47
- Potential profit
- $75.47
- User PnL
- -$4
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.1
- Potential profit
- $75.1
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.1
- Potential profit
- $54.1
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.58
- Potential profit
- $41.58
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.02
- Potential profit
- $34.02
- User PnL
- -$6.95
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.37
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.1
Up position
XRP Up or Down - January 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.76
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.68
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.17
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3PM ET
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.21
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes 32% 10.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETDown 29.7% 16.65 shares
- XRP Up or Down - March 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETDown 28% 3.54 shares
- XRP Up or Down - March 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETDown 28% 3.54 shares
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes 32% 9.38 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?Yes 0.1% 11.11 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?Yes 8% 50 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes 19% 10.53 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?Yes 31% 10.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETUp 4% 3.87 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETUp 42% 2.35 shares