Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $364.33K
- Potential profit
- $364.33K
- User PnL
- -$280.98K
Polymarket Trader
shadowwizardmoneygang
0x249b7466ecf40ff9a22526fa8a25eeadf7155df1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $404.1
- Realized PnL
- $23.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.64K
- Potential profit
- $57.64K
- User PnL
- -$40.93K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.36K
- Potential profit
- $48.36K
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $235.84
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $235.84
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $74.57
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $74.57
Yes position
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $644
- Potential profit
- $644
- User PnL
- -$33.29
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $365.45
- Potential profit
- $365.45
- User PnL
- -$126.6
Yes position
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $130B by June 30?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $3.53
- Potential payout
- $235
- Potential profit
- $231.48
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- $3.53
Yes position
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $4.05
- Potential payout
- $128.48
- Potential profit
- $124.43
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $4.05
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.69
- Potential profit
- $114.69
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $44.9
- Potential payout
- $83.92
- Potential profit
- $39.02
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $44.9
Yes position
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $3.34
- Potential payout
- $60.7
- Potential profit
- $57.36
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$5.11
No position
Will edgeX reach $2.50 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $27.28
- Potential payout
- $52.98
- Potential profit
- $25.7
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $4.05
No position
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.25 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will edgeX reach $1.60 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $10.6
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $9.4
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$3.8
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11
- Potential profit
- $1.11
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.83K
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5K
Yes position
Ethereum all time high before October?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4800 September 8–14?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $220 on October 2?
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $946.41
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $200 on October 14?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $800.78
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $718.79
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $704.94
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 2?
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $625
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $590.85
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2000 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $385.51
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $364.18
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4700 September 8–14?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2200 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $355.25
No position
Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.99
Yes position
Ethereum all time high before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.91
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $287.84
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.49
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $261.55
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.4
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on November 5?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.85
No position
Will Lowe's Companies (LOW) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?Yes 6% 173.33 shares
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 9.8% 115.57 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?Yes 7% 139.71 shares
- Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by December 31?Yes 51.2% 83.92 shares
- Will edgeX reach $3.00 before 2027?No 80% 38 shares
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?No 82.7% 25.22 shares
- Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $130B by June 30?Yes 1.9% 235 shares
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?No 84% 8 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?Yes 7% 1,737.71 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Yes 8% 1,657 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes 6.2% 212 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 0.1% 3,140 shares