Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.98K
- Potential profit
- $11.98K
- User PnL
- -$122.55
Polymarket Trader
Wtfitst2daj
0x24aab9f0ffe38a718f988760f5d27c8418317e0a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.75K
- Realized PnL
- $3.91K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$128
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$197
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $220.02
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$366.63
Yes position
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $132
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $668
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$396
Yes position
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $527.56
- Potential payout
- $528.62
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- User PnL
- $27.35
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $512.44
- Potential profit
- $512.44
- User PnL
- -$225.16
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $13.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $386.2
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$96.2
Yes position
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$26.1
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $79.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $220.5
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$139.5
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $256
- Potential profit
- $256
- User PnL
- -$151.04
Yes position
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $227.85
- Potential payout
- $228.19
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.7%
- Current value
- $29.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $170.7
- Multiplier
- 6.83x
- User PnL
- $9.3
No position
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $145.35
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $24.65
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.15
- Potential profit
- $148.15
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $92.4
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $27.6
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $45.54
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $114.14
- Potential payout
- $115
- Potential profit
- $0.86
- User PnL
- $19.84
No position
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.8%
- Current value
- $98.59
- Potential payout
- $108.63
- Potential profit
- $10.05
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Yes position
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.18
- Potential profit
- $100.18
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.6%
- Current value
- $18.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $81.45
- Multiplier
- 5.39x
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $18
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $82
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$20.92
No position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $25.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $74.5
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $3.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $505.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.44
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.42
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.67
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.45
Yes position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.67
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.2
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.29
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.8
Yes position
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.83
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
Yes position
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.68
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.8
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Khamenei seen in public by March 7?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
No position
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 5?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
No position
Khamenei seen in public by March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.2
Yes position
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?Yes 10% 64.51 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?Yes 60% 160 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?Yes 25% 160 shares
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?Yes 62% 48.39 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 54% 92.59 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 65% 30.77 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes 59% 33.9 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes 51% 58.82 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 54% 55.56 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?Yes 75% 13.33 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?Yes 72% 27.78 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 62% 32.26 shares