4peace

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100.91
Potential payout: $100.91
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.91

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $80.12
Potential payout: $82.39
Potential profit: $2.27
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.35
Potential profit: $61.35
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $49.49
Potential payout: $51.39
Potential profit: $1.9
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $19.93
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $0.48
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $16.25
Potential payout: $16.25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.2
Potential payout: $10.2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.2

Racing Club de Lens position

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.85
Potential profit: $6.85
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $4.86
Potential payout: $5.75
Potential profit: $0.89
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.65
Potential profit: $4.65
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.54
Potential profit: $3.54
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $2.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will AEK win on 2026-03-19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.53
Potential profit: $2.53
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Sydney FC win on 2026-03-17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $2.38
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $2.13
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $1.72
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $1.72
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64
Potential profit: $1.64
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61
Potential profit: $1.61
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $1.54
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $1.39
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.19

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.97

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

Yes position

Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.69

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.35

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.06

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.8%
Multiplier: 2.45x
User PnL: $3.44

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.07

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or below on March 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $210 end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.5%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?