Polymarket Trader

Holyfatcow

0x24bbbde21f96bd7faf5a75bfa277615ba8c9dbaa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $87.78
Realized PnL: $656.41
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $231
Potential profit: $231
User PnL: -$92.38

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $189.99
Potential profit: $189.99
User PnL: -$18.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $113.64
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.22
Potential profit: $107.22
User PnL: -$24.98

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $22.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $77.05
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $6.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$34.92

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $3.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96.05
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $24.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $75.5
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $75
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: $0.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.76
Potential profit: $75.76
User PnL: -$25

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-3.5)

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$42

Lakers position

Spread: Lakers (-2.5)

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.99
Potential profit: $69.99
User PnL: -$39.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $12.45
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $47.55
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: $7.23

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.52
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$7.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $3.45
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $56.54
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$2.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46.25
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$11.5

Yes position

Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $38.75
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $0.75

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$33.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$17.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.92

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.5

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: $22.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.89

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.6

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Clippers

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.19

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Suns

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 29?

Yes 34% 49.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 28?

Yes 38% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 24?

Yes 2.5% 26 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 23?

No 0.1% 99.98 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 23?

No 7% 54.27 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?

Yes 20% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?

Yes 42% 51 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 23?

Yes 54% 70 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?

Yes 41% 90 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?

Yes 56% 30 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?

Yes 57% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?

Yes 57% 30 shares