Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $235.95
- Potential payout
- $22.47K
- Potential profit
- $22.24K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$164.04
Polymarket Trader
Croc78
0x24be308003fb0e86a307ab039bb2e9f2d10844cb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.96K
- Realized PnL
- $1.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $1.18K
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $36.99
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $175.66
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $543.69
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $588.99
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$56.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $842.4
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.34
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.04
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.69
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $93.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes 1.2% 8,124.91 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 85.2% 586.84 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 96.5% 719.14 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 79.9% 625.8 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes 2.1% 14,346.35 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 83.4% 719.14 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 94% 1,000 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 53% 1,132.68 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes 95.2% 1,200 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 29% 775.94 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 12.9% 775.94 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 2.1% 7,643.69 shares