Yasen

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.02K
Potential profit: $3.02K
User PnL: -$65

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.66K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 26.2%
Current value: $268.2
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $757.41
Multiplier: 3.82x
User PnL: $213.2

Yes position

Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11.5m and 13m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $917.06
Potential profit: $917.06
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $829.66
Potential profit: $829.66
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $567.75
Potential profit: $565.76
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.01

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $546.92
Potential profit: $546.92
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $492.87
Potential profit: $492.87
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.71
Potential payout: $417.19
Potential profit: $414.48
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11.5m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $366.67
Potential profit: $366.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $355.27
Potential profit: $355.27
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will China join the Board of Peace?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $280.21
Potential profit: $280.21
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will UK strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $223.04
Potential profit: $223.04
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $207.93
Potential profit: $207.93
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $5.48
Potential payout: $168.73
Potential profit: $163.25
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $2.48

Yes position

Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $607.82

Yes position

Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.17

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.22

Yes position

Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.46

Yes position

Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.52

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.34

Yes position

Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.21

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.25

Yes position

Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.24

Yes position

Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.15

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.11

Yes position

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

England vs. Croatia: England O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will a Republican win California Presidential Election?