Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $280.22
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- $60.23
Polymarket Trader
jtalms
0x24d41da5adcea52e718ee3f97de7136e8ce37849
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $583.68
- Realized PnL
- $1.35K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Current value
- $186.22
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $834.18
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- -$13.77
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $568.79
- Potential profit
- $568.79
- User PnL
- -$79.63
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.1%
- Current value
- $98.95
- Potential payout
- $299.4
- Potential profit
- $200.45
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
No position
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.08
- Potential profit
- $204.08
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $181.82
- User PnL
- -$20
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $178.57
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $151.52
- Potential profit
- $151.52
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.21
- Potential profit
- $121.21
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.15
- Potential profit
- $96.15
- User PnL
- -$25
Spurs position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.53
- Potential profit
- $73.53
- User PnL
- -$50
Over position
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.35
- Potential profit
- $54.35
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.7%
- Current value
- $18.28
- Potential payout
- $54.24
- Potential profit
- $35.96
- Multiplier
- 2.97x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.02
- Potential profit
- $51.02
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.61
- Potential profit
- $43.61
- User PnL
- -$25
Mexico position
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.55
- Potential profit
- $42.55
- User PnL
- -$20
Spain position
Spread: Spain (-2.5)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.37
- Potential profit
- $42.37
- User PnL
- -$25
Over position
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$20
United States position
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.19
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.74
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.84
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.33
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.05
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.28
Yes position
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50.47
Thunder position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.99
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.85
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.59
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.71
Over position
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 1.5
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.48
Yes position
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.67
Under position
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.56
Over position
Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.04
Over position
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.62
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.79
Thunder position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes 33% 121.21 shares
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under 96% 41.66 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 10.6% 613.21 shares
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under 48% 41.67 shares
- United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceUnited States 50% 40 shares
- Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 1.5Over 29% 34.48 shares
- Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreYes 48% 41.67 shares
- Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceMexico 47% 42.55 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 36.9% 54.24 shares
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5Over 48% 41.67 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes 73% 136.99 shares
- Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 0.5Over 12% 33.45 shares