Polymarket Trader

0x24d54c36179F6b50ddC7Fff4CCd42CBCd9d5DCAC-1778768098822

0x24d54c36179f6b50ddc7fff4ccd42cbcd9d5dcac

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.51
Realized PnL: $16.65
Win rate: 78.9%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Cape Verde reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.89
Potential profit: $157.89
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $2.48
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $147.53
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Michael Mebruer be the Republican nominee for LA-05?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $4.38
Potential payout: $86.11
Potential profit: $81.73
Multiplier: 19.65x
User PnL: $3.38

Yes position

Will Rick Edmonds be the Republican nominee for LA-05?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $58.75
Potential profit: $58.63
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will Austin Magee be the Republican nominee for LA-05?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $50.25
Potential profit: $48.39
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will Samuel Wyatt be the Republican nominee for LA-05?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $40.44
Potential profit: $39.83
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $3.91
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $27.34
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.63
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.63
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.46
Potential profit: $15.46
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Misti Cordell be the Republican nominee for LA-05?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $14.44
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Michael Echols be the Republican nominee for LA-05?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 13.1%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $10.87
Multiplier: 7.66x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $9.72
Potential profit: $9.13
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$3.42

Yes position

Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

3DMAX position

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$3

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$3

MIBR position

Valorant: MIBR vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.66
Potential profit: $5.66
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.55
Potential profit: $5.55
User PnL: -$1.11

9z position

Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.92
Potential profit: $4.92
User PnL: -$3

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.41
Potential profit: $4.41
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.48

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.92

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.89

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.77

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.97

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.09

ex-HEROIC position

Dota 2: Aurora vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

No 77% 3.9 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 150 shares
Will Cape Verde reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 157.89 shares
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 31.25 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

No 97.7% 4.34 shares
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B

3DMAX 45% 6.67 shares
Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Cavaliers 32% 6.25 shares
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?

Yes 22% 4.55 shares
Will Michael Mebruer be the Republican nominee for LA-05?

Yes 1.2% 86.11 shares
Will Austin Magee be the Republican nominee for LA-05?

Yes 2% 50.25 shares
Will Rick Edmonds be the Republican nominee for LA-05?

Yes 1.7% 58.75 shares
Will Samuel Wyatt be the Republican nominee for LA-05?

Yes 2.5% 40.44 shares