No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47
- Potential profit
- $47
- User PnL
- -$19.67
Polymarket Trader
hazelfox
@hazelf0x
0x24e05919521fb0b2b199ccd6b23ecb7b551e6177
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.69
- Realized PnL
- $275.74
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.84
- Potential profit
- $44.84
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.02
- Potential profit
- $42.02
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $12.99
- Potential payout
- $41.24
- Potential profit
- $28.25
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$2.27
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.59
- Potential profit
- $28.59
- User PnL
- -$22.87
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.14
- Potential profit
- $28.14
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $7.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $12.3
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $55.27
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.44
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.4
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.26
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.9
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.98
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.47
Yes position
Trump x Putin talk before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.45
No position
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.03
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.88
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.21
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.21
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.08
No position
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.05
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.02
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.01
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.98
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.42
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.31
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.31
No position
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 6.9% 38.6 shares
- England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance AND Will England win on 2026-07-01?24.9% 19.6 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No 25% 20 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 42.4% 23.6 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?42.3% 4.94 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Yes 41% 5.29 shares
- Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? AND Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?5% 20 shares
- Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?3.4% 29.54 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?34.2% 26.32 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Yes 51% 5.29 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 29% 9.92 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?51.5% 11.2 shares