No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $12.88K
- Potential payout
- $13.41K
- Potential profit
- $529.84
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $409.6
Polymarket Trader
wqujvj
0x24fbc286881b0c0e76bc7558c47c3fa5f71d973e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.42K
- Realized PnL
- $21.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $817.52
- Potential payout
- $6.54K
- Potential profit
- $5.72K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$724.27
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $5.05K
- Potential payout
- $5.34K
- Potential profit
- $293.95
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $721.82
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $166.89
- Potential payout
- $3.71K
- Potential profit
- $3.54K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$654.93
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.69
- Potential payout
- $3.38K
- Potential profit
- $3.37K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$169.32
No position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $2.46K
- Potential payout
- $2.63K
- Potential profit
- $171.15
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $309.81
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- User PnL
- -$43.84
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $861.26
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $326.69
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $41.58
Yes position
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $148.54
- Potential payout
- $873.74
- Potential profit
- $725.2
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$158.25
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $617.04
- Potential payout
- $649.86
- Potential profit
- $32.82
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $85.44
Y
Yes position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $149.89
- Potential payout
- $576.49
- Potential profit
- $426.6
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$130.22
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $8.14
- Potential payout
- $380.17
- Potential profit
- $372.03
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$56.52
No position
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $157.16
- Potential payout
- $208.16
- Potential profit
- $51
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $19.92
Y
Yes position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.33
- Potential profit
- $117.33
- User PnL
- -$3.83
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $27.58
- Potential payout
- $98.5
- Potential profit
- $70.92
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- $8.86
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $69.13
- Potential payout
- $71.94
- Potential profit
- $2.81
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $28.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.48K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26K
Yes position
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
No position
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $902.42
Yes position
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $843.67
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $689.79
No position
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630.24
No position
Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $540.17
No position
Iran leadership change by March 13?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $431.89
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $400.47
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $375.43
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.92
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.76
No position
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.69
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.64
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $78.56
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $78.06
No position
Israeli forces enter Beirut by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.14
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.93
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.75
No position
Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?Yes 2.2% 30 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 14% 3,218.63 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?Yes 0.9% 115.44 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?Yes 3.4% 1,999.99 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?Yes 3.2% 41.79 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?Yes 3.3% 27 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Yes 31% 40 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 23% 308.55 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?Yes 15% 1,000 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 22% 326.17 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?Yes 9% 53.99 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?No 99.9% 595.79 shares