Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.65K
- Potential profit
- $10.65K
- User PnL
- -$338.73
Polymarket Trader
jehoshaphat
0x2503bdb78d9a2af985f9423c10554f3e1b179be5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $560.87
- Realized PnL
- $294.9
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.14K
- Potential profit
- $4.14K
- User PnL
- -$280.64
No position
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.3
- Potential profit
- $833.3
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $95.3
- Potential payout
- $705.9
- Potential profit
- $610.6
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $38.82
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $646.84
- Potential profit
- $646.84
- User PnL
- -$43.82
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $142.59
- Potential payout
- $549.48
- Potential profit
- $406.89
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$150.76
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $418.1
- Potential profit
- $418.1
- User PnL
- -$125.54
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $18.57
- Potential payout
- $408.16
- Potential profit
- $389.59
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.43
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $329.8
- Potential profit
- $329.8
- User PnL
- -$114.99
Yes position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $328.3
- Potential profit
- $328.3
- User PnL
- -$19.7
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the CA-39 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $18.57
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $267.14
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $246.1
- Potential profit
- $246.1
- User PnL
- -$18.5
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $122.46
- Potential payout
- $242.5
- Potential profit
- $120.04
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$3.64
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178.99
- Potential profit
- $178.99
- User PnL
- -$17.9
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150.5
- Potential profit
- $150.5
- User PnL
- -$62.51
Yes position
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $23.46
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $123.6
- Multiplier
- 6.27x
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.9
- Potential profit
- $142.9
- User PnL
- -$20.01
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $99.28
- Potential payout
- $128.1
- Potential profit
- $28.82
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$2.59
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $63.6
- Potential profit
- $63.41
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.63
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.9
- Potential profit
- $46.9
- User PnL
- -$15.01
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.2
- Potential profit
- $45.2
- User PnL
- -$15.37
No position
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.08
- Potential profit
- $39.08
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $6.1
- Potential payout
- $35.9
- Potential profit
- $29.8
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$4.74
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $34.36
- Potential payout
- $34.79
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $57.39
No position
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.04
No position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.54
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.81
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $23.45
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $20.86
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7%
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- $16.29
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.32
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.58
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.51
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $4.96
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.35
Y
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.4%
- Multiplier
- 2.68x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 21% 5.9 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 39% 10 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 23% 521.7 shares
- Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?Yes 16% 3.73 shares
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.9% 408.16 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the CA-39 House seat?Yes 7% 285.71 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.5% 20 shares
- Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Yes 17% 147.06 shares
- Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 8.6% 30 shares
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 32% 30 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Yes 3.5% 5.09 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 28% 5 shares