Polymarket Trader

etc92.eth

0x2516841e61d08bd94d951fc53301ac42f730f107

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.13K
Realized PnL: $4.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $204.82
Potential payout: $205.13
Potential profit: $0.31
User PnL: $4.82

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $47.2
Potential payout: $132.96
Potential profit: $85.76
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$51.19

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $112.05
Potential payout: $113.12
Potential profit: $1.07
User PnL: $12.05

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $111.63
Potential payout: $112.36
Potential profit: $0.73
User PnL: $11.63

No position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $100.37
Potential payout: $104.82
Potential profit: $4.45
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.37

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $100.68
Potential payout: $104.17
Potential profit: $3.49
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $102.84
Potential payout: $103.2
Potential profit: $0.36
User PnL: $2.84

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $102.73
Potential payout: $102.88
Potential profit: $0.15
User PnL: $2.73

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $102.22
Potential payout: $102.27
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $75.47
Potential payout: $93.75
Potential profit: $18.28
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.47

No position

James Comey arrested by April 29?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.42
Potential profit: $70.42
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $67.6
Potential payout: $67.67
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $17.6

Ilia Topuria position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$50

Steve Garcia position

UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $24.39
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $852.27

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400.54

Lopes position

Ortega vs. Lopes

Ends Sep 14, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.45

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.02

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190

No position

Will Kanye launch a coin in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.71

Eagles position

Commanders vs. Eagles

Ends Feb 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.93

Yes position

Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?

Ends Apr 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.73

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.56

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.88

Ribovics position

Zellhuber vs. Ribovics

Ends Sep 14, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.87

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.94

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.74

Lions position

Bears vs. Lions

Ends Dec 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.87

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.75

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: September

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.41

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.34

No position

Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.94

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by September 5?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.61

Yes position

Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.25

No position

Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.87

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.66

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.65

Yes position

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 74% 132.96 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 80% 93.75 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

No 96% 104.17 shares
Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 7.8% 111.27 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Aiemann Zahabi 19.2% 43.47 shares
Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 89.9% 111.27 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 88.4% 113.12 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Josh Hokit 99% 57.19 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Josh Hokit 94% 5.31 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Aiemann Zahabi 23% 43.48 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ilia Topuria 80% 62.5 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)

Bo Nickal 75% 66.67 shares