Polymarket Trader

0x2519...a6d4

0x251961c5b11e628c64bd37cf87f8dfb9460fa6d4

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $769.41
Realized PnL: -$86.46
Win rate: 41.2%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $33.8
Potential payout: $925.93
Potential profit: $892.13
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$16.2

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $735.61
Potential payout: $803.94
Potential profit: $68.34
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $35.61

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $341.18
Potential profit: $341.18
User PnL: -$132.06

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.26

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18

Yes position

Will Ireland win?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.06

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the US strike Yemen next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.87

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$39.99

No position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$165.93

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 16% 125 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 91% 219.78 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 86% 465.12 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 84% 119.05 shares
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

No 38.9% 257.07 shares
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

No 38.1% 84.11 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

No 0.5% 25.92 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.4% 925.93 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

No 88.9% 1,124.32 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

No 54% 25.93 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

No 85% 94.12 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

No 85% 58.82 shares