Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.38K
- Potential payout
- $16.24K
- Potential profit
- $14.86K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.22K
Polymarket Trader
0x2521F9E74C0544c5F6ceF7cD1cEfBDD816c6eeC7-1771525984490
0x2521f9e74c0544c5f6cef7cd1cefbdd816c6eec7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.38K
- Realized PnL
- -$371.12
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.13K
- Potential profit
- $14.13K
- User PnL
- -$873.57
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500.01
- Potential profit
- $500.01
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.44
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.15
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.77
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.89
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.46
Yes position
Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.84
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.75
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.11
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.1
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- $10.05
Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.47
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Yes position
Will Iran strike Germany by March 31?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.66
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28.71
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$46.01
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$64.78
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$76.12
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$87.26
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$133.33
No position
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$133.67
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$197.48
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$265.89
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$367.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 16% 1,461.56 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?Yes 92% 253.36 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?Yes 83% 18.07 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?Yes 85% 235.29 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?Yes 6% 3,931.67 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 16% 4,460.63 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?Yes 6% 3,931.67 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?Yes 6% 3,236.23 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 15% 1,371.83 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?Yes 6% 75.33 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.7% 4.81 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 61% 4.82 shares