No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
0x252fc518581983fb7da1A1cc193558a9Ab0988Fa-1771869542940
0x252fc518581983fb7da1a1cc193558a9ab0988fa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.95
- Realized PnL
- $60.33
- Win rate
- 57.9%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.53
- Potential profit
- $103.53
- User PnL
- -$2
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Adidas" during the Czechia vs South Africa FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Czechia vs South Africa FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.65
- Potential profit
- $66.65
- User PnL
- -$4.67
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Adidas" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $6.6
- Potential payout
- $56.18
- Potential profit
- $49.58
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.88
- Potential profit
- $54.88
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $3.91
- Potential payout
- $53.19
- Potential profit
- $49.28
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$1.09
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $5.59
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $37.89
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $37.04
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $4.27
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $26.98
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will Hong Kong have between 230-240mm of precipitation in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.41
- Potential profit
- $30.41
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $5.59
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $24.71
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.66
- Potential profit
- $28.66
- User PnL
- -$5.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.17
- Potential profit
- $22.17
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.56
- Potential profit
- $19.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $15.15
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.15
Yes position
Will Hong Kong have between 220-230mm of precipitation in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.29
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.66
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $16.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.23
No position
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$21.13
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$37.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 10% 150 shares
- Will the announcers say "Adidas" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 8% 62.5 shares
- Will the announcers say "Adidas" during the Czechia vs South Africa FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 5% 100 shares
- Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Czechia vs South Africa FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 7% 71.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETDown 17% 5.88 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 77% 34.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on June 7?Yes 7% 28.57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on June 7?Yes 3.6% 54.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 7?Yes 1.9% 103.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 7?Yes 22.6% 22.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 7?Yes 33% 15.15 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.9% 56.18 shares