No position
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $252.71
- Potential payout
- $253.09
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- User PnL
- $0.61
Polymarket Trader
Arles1
0x2533438bf003540c2216ce87428c4031a56251c1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $638.54
- Realized PnL
- $225.99
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $168.24
- Potential payout
- $181.88
- Potential profit
- $13.64
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $6.02
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $126.23
- Potential payout
- $128.48
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $91.36
- Potential payout
- $93.27
- Potential profit
- $1.91
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.54
No position
Will the United States win the most medal points in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.97
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.47
No position
Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.31
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.08
No position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.48
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.57
No position
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.61
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.32
No position
Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.08
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.61
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.3
No position
Will Sassuolo finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.28
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.84
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.21
No position
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.28
No position
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.51
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.46
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.23
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.04
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.03
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.52
No position
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.8% 172.44 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 93% 10.75 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 97.8% 128.48 shares
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.4% 75.45 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 93% 10.75 shares
- Will Arthur Fery be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No 97.1% 85.07 shares
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No 97.3% 10.28 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 94% 10.64 shares
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.1% 81.33 shares
- Will Flavio Cobolli be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No 98.8% 102.63 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 95% 28.32 shares
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No 97.3% 10.28 shares