No position
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $97.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $2.65
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Polymarket Trader
3f7arlaurits5386
0x253814dc9c42a95a1a8aa476476d1f5f32b9afa4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $145.3
- Realized PnL
- $4.7
- Win rate
- 94.4%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $47.95
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $2.05
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?No 99.7% 20 shares