Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $22.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.98K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Polymarket Trader
0x07Cfe5Dcd7Bf894F907e6C659f290E6f40a91A33-1770925220373
0x254c36e3aa8aa84e828de1a8f51199ea6b707174
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $326.6
- Realized PnL
- $321.38
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $33.2
- Potential payout
- $819.67
- Potential profit
- $786.48
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$16.8
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $22.58
- Potential payout
- $716.67
- Potential profit
- $694.1
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $13.98
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $26.43
- Potential payout
- $476.19
- Potential profit
- $449.76
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$13.57
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.7%
- Current value
- $65.84
- Potential payout
- $449.44
- Potential profit
- $383.6
- Multiplier
- 6.83x
- User PnL
- $25.84
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $48.82
- Potential payout
- $355.03
- Potential profit
- $306.21
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$11.18
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.9%
- Current value
- $46.54
- Potential payout
- $246.91
- Potential profit
- $200.37
- Multiplier
- 5.31x
- User PnL
- $6.54
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.25
- Potential profit
- $156.25
- User PnL
- -$100
Alex Pereira position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $46.43
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $96.43
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $6.43
Yes position
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.15
- Potential profit
- $96.15
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.6%
- Current value
- $14.27
- Potential payout
- $81.3
- Potential profit
- $67.03
- Multiplier
- 5.70x
- User PnL
- -$5.73
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.29
- Potential profit
- $63.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $342.47
Yes position
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.2
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.1
France position
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: France vs Switzerland
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.14
Yes position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- $26.03
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.57
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Multiplier
- 10.10x
- User PnL
- $16.67
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.32
Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.95
Yes position
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.56
Yes position
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.11
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.37
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 21?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.26
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$47.76
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$208.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 24.6% 81.3 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.4% 5,000 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.5% 716.66 shares
- Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?Yes 7.9% 63.29 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Yes 84% 25.42 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Yes 85% 50.84 shares
- Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes 12% 74.07 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Yes 97.1% 100 shares
- Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes 12% 86.95 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Yes 60% 100 shares
- Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes 23% 86.96 shares
- Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes 27% 74.07 shares