Polymarket Trader

ysok

0x254f2b95128466b03813f100ff3baa03cdbb7cc0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $114.52
Realized PnL: -$20.39
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $36.1
Potential payout: $190
Potential profit: $153.9
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Republican House incumbents not win in three or fewer nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 25.4%
Current value: $43.33
Potential payout: $170.92
Potential profit: $127.59
Multiplier: 3.94x
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $18.53
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $76.48
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$5.7

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $5.67
Potential payout: $40.82
Potential profit: $35.15
Multiplier: 7.19x
User PnL: -$2.9

Yes position

Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $9.19
Potential payout: $20.65
Potential profit: $11.46
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $5.3

Yes position

Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 56.6%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $3.01
Potential profit: $1.31
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $0.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12%
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13%
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$5.04

Yes position

Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13.1%
Multiplier: 7.66x
User PnL: -$5.45

Yes position

Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18%
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 40.7% 30 shares
Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 11% 20 shares
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Yes 11% 15 shares
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 19% 14.84 shares
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?

Yes 10.9% 9.18 shares
Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 4.1% 50 shares
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 50 shares
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 19% 5 shares
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Yes 21% 25 shares
Will Republican House incumbents not win in three or fewer nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Yes 1.1% 30 shares