Polymarket Trader

YourMotherIsAHippo

0x254face2589bd322676aeb299c93464e17517581

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.15K
Realized PnL: $891
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$140.42

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.1%
Current value: $167.84
Potential payout: $728.17
Potential profit: $560.33
Multiplier: 4.34x
User PnL: $78.84

No position

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $687.03
Potential payout: $711.94
Potential profit: $24.92
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $59.33

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $58
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $342
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$42

Yes position

Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $176.47
Potential profit: $176.38
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$29.91

No position

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $124.07
Potential payout: $152.25
Potential profit: $28.18
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $9.88

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $104.38
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $20.63
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $4.38

Yes position

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45.75
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$5.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.88

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.68

No position

Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.05

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.21

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on January 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.78

Yes position

Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.07

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.04

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.52

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.25

Yes position

Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.28

Yes position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.69

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: January

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.78

Yes position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.47

No position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.9

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.37

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$9.98

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Leavitt say "Vanity Fair" during the next White House press briefing?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

No 88.2% 711.94 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Yes 94.9% 105.37 shares
US strikes Iraq by February 28?

No 96.3% 207.58 shares
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?

No 7.3% 832.21 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 12.2% 728.17 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?

Down 49% 102.04 shares
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Yes 27.5% 363.55 shares
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 10% 500 shares
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Yes 33% 121.21 shares
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?

Yes 2% 500 shares
Government shutdown on Saturday?

No 30% 246.97 shares
Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Yes 9% 111.38 shares