Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.17K
- Potential profit
- $15.17K
- User PnL
- -$238.79
Polymarket Trader
Mikele
0x255228f222cff4dd60acfaf391941b59770d73d2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $676.42
- Realized PnL
- -$1.21K
- Win rate
- 27.3%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.56K
- Potential profit
- $7.56K
- User PnL
- -$70.63
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $8.36
- Potential payout
- $5.57K
- Potential profit
- $5.56K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$119.8
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.07K
- Potential profit
- $5.07K
- User PnL
- -$535.48
Yes position
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $6.34
- Potential payout
- $4.23K
- Potential profit
- $4.22K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$65.53
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$134.64
Yes position
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.9K
- Potential profit
- $3.9K
- User PnL
- -$284.7
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $323
- Potential payout
- $3.8K
- Potential profit
- $3.48K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$183.48
Yes position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.55K
- Potential profit
- $2.55K
- User PnL
- -$335.7
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$450
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$76
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- User PnL
- -$69.99
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $170.94
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$180.4
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $993.5
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$203.5
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $123.5
- Potential payout
- $950
- Potential profit
- $826.5
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$142.5
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$303.82
Yes position
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $37.78
- Potential payout
- $742.21
- Potential profit
- $704.43
- Multiplier
- 19.65x
- User PnL
- -$20.94
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $551.35
- Potential profit
- $551.35
- User PnL
- -$115.78
Yes position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.29
- Potential profit
- $123.29
- User PnL
- -$14.79
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $285
Yes position
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.99
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $67.09
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.2
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$23.9
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$88.75
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$178.5
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$270
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$386.63
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$766.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 9% 3,800 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 3.8% 312.79 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 4.5% 6.58 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 3.7% 419 shares
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 38% 800 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 7% 120 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 18% 388.23 shares
- Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes 9.6% 260.14 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 2.3% 572.43 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 5.8% 1,500 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?Yes 15.8% 676.43 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 5.7% 1,500 shares