No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $7.37
- Potential payout
- $15.51
- Potential profit
- $8.14
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.63
Polymarket Trader
0x2557...2adf
0x2557beeaee4fad202beea5fc5d202e325b412adf
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $93.04
- Realized PnL
- $221.38
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $7.38
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $8
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $10.44
- Potential payout
- $14.21
- Potential profit
- $3.76
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.6
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $9.41
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $5.89
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $5.12
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $6.33
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $8.35
- Potential payout
- $10.12
- Potential profit
- $1.77
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $8.01
- Potential payout
- $9.71
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $3.06
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $5.6
- Potential payout
- $9.66
- Potential profit
- $4.06
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $4.36
- Potential payout
- $9.17
- Potential profit
- $4.82
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
No position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $7.31
- Potential payout
- $8.97
- Potential profit
- $1.66
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $1.46
- Potential payout
- $8.86
- Potential profit
- $7.4
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $1.79
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $6.72
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $3.1
- Potential payout
- $7.2
- Potential profit
- $4.11
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $2.99
- Potential payout
- $7.04
- Potential profit
- $4.05
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $6.59
- Potential profit
- $1.09
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $6.57
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.16
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.64
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.36
No position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.69
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.61
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.86
No position
Will Trump say "TikTok" this week? (February 8)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.73
Yes position
Will the Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win 140 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.73
No position
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 150 and 199 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.83
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.73
Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.88
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
Down position
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.49
Yes position
Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.49
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.07
No position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in February?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49
Down position
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
No position
Will NVIDIA dip to $168 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
Yes position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.11
No position
Will Jesse Jackson Jr. be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 52% 9.17 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes 75% 6.59 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?No 68% 14.21 shares
- Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.25 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 56% 8.14 shares
- Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes 19% 6 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 22% 8.5 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 44% 7.2 shares
- Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?Yes 67% 7 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No 47% 3 shares
- Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?Yes 35% 9 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 21% 12 shares
- Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?Yes 41% 11 shares