Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.53K
- Potential payout
- $16.13K
- Potential profit
- $14.6K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$8.47K
Polymarket Trader
0x25590b0Ab51d4C27e1D7eeC3a383Aeb4296f2032-1761754731394
0x25590b0ab51d4c27e1d7eec3a383aeb4296f2032
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.21K
- Realized PnL
- $44.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.98K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $665.6
- Potential payout
- $8.87K
- Potential profit
- $8.21K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$966.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.05K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.66K
Yes position
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83K
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.02
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $115.26
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.26
No position
Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
USDC depeg by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 85% 27,089.77 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 61.6% 8,111.45 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 62.3% 8,019.82 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 18.4% 10,874.61 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 99.8% 10,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 80% 1,186.23 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 27% 10,000 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?Yes 13% 1,693.05 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes 99.5% 30,000.01 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?No 99.6% 20 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?No 99.7% 10 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes 78% 298 shares