Polymarket Trader

0x2559f6E278b5a62938daBBbDC21335939D1C460b-1769583109018

@rain_sats

0x2559f6e278b5a62938dabbbdc21335939d1c460b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $55.05
Realized PnL: $4.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $2.8K
User PnL: -$13.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $2.65K
User PnL: -$78.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
User PnL: -$27.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $737.41
Potential profit: $737.41
User PnL: -$71.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $669.67
Potential profit: $669.67
User PnL: -$63.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420
Potential profit: $420
User PnL: -$15.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $393.04
Potential profit: $393.04
User PnL: -$79.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $318.03
Potential profit: $318.03
User PnL: -$56.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $244.67
Potential profit: $244.67
User PnL: -$3.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $226.88
Potential profit: $226.88
User PnL: -$23.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $210
User PnL: -$20.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201.48
Potential profit: $201.48
User PnL: -$15.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195
Potential profit: $195
User PnL: -$10.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174
Potential profit: $174
User PnL: -$10.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$13.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.99
Potential profit: $109.99
User PnL: -$5.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $55.05
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $39.95
Multiplier: 1.73x
User PnL: $51.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.01
Potential profit: $80.01
User PnL: -$11.24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $920.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $486.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $250.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $243.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $120.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $110.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $82.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $82.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 0.9% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 4.4% 45 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 11% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 14% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 3.7% 59.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 21% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 110 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 5.2% 40 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 3% 70 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 5.8% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 1.9% 81.48 shares