Yes position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $36
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $21.96
Polymarket Trader
0x255e...a01d
0x255e6d781f44d1d5b633d15f2459998a228ba01d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $70.22
- Realized PnL
- -$1.96
- Win rate
- 35.7%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $1.68
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $24.32
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $16
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $10.88
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $2.46
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $9.54
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $3.79
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $7.21
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.6%
- Current value
- $3.81
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.19
- Multiplier
- 2.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
No position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $5.98
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $3
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.92x
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.91x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.31
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 6.6% 26 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes 27% 5 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 20% 12 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 55.5% 8 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 88.2% 7 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 18% 9 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 85% 9 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes 15% 7 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 24.3% 9 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 75.7% 6 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 10.2% 12 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 89.9% 5 shares