Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $29.21
- Potential payout
- $110.24
- Potential profit
- $81.03
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$10.47
Polymarket Trader
jiaobu
0x2583c9d6e238654e790a3306c6f72cc4367645f8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.21
- Realized PnL
- $3.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Bending Spoons' market cap be between $16B and $19B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.59
- Potential profit
- $102.59
- User PnL
- -$42.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Elche CF position
Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Bucks
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Illinois Fighting Illini position
Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Tundra Esports position
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 4 Winner
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10AM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 16?Yes 35% 10.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 16?Yes 38% 25.76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 16?Yes 38% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 2?Yes 36% 8.34 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 98% 5.09 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 97.2% 6.18 shares
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?No 86% 14.96 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 78.9% 5.67 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 94.5% 6.33 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 94.7% 6.34 shares
- Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?No 99.3% 9.06 shares
- Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?No 99.4% 9.05 shares