Hollowmoth

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.62
Potential profit: $147.62
User PnL: -$78.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $27.8
Potential payout: $45.58
Potential profit: $17.77
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$2.2

No position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.97
Potential profit: $20.97
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Low Energy" this week?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.65
Potential profit: $17.65
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $15.93
Potential profit: $11.23
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $12.2
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $11.43
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$1.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 84°F or higher on May 29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.07
Potential profit: $9.07
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will "Pope" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.41
Potential profit: $7.41
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.13
Potential profit: $4.13
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Trump say "Big League" or "Bigly" in June?

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $1.61
Potential payout: $4.08
Potential profit: $2.47
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$0.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.92
Potential profit: $3.92
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.64
Potential profit: $3.64
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Eliminate" or "Eliminated" during his next YouTube video?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.51
Potential profit: $3.51
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will "Gold" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.91
Potential profit: $2.91
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Vance say "Commitment" during Air Force Academy Address?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.75
Potential profit: $1.75
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.96

Yes position

Will Bernie say "Climate" in Maine?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.93

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.29

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.41

Yes position

Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-05-29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

Will Dell say "Gaming" or "Game" during earnings call?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET