Polymarket Trader

matz

0x25a329e9306a350815734c8de05a0914c993ce19

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.55K
Realized PnL: $2.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Major cyberattack on Iran in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $2.14K
User PnL: -$15

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $439.55
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$290.55

No position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
User PnL: -$857.78

No position

Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $841.93
Potential payout: $945.98
Potential profit: $104.06
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $73.51

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $55.88
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $532.35
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$44.12

No position

Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $354.61
Potential profit: $354.61
User PnL: -$226.6

Yes position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $262.47
Potential payout: $318.14
Potential profit: $55.67
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $47.07

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $213.69
Potential payout: $222.94
Potential profit: $9.25
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.54

Yes position

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $124
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $76
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "Most Advanced" or "Most Powerful" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$84.99

Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition position

LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.65
Potential profit: $78.65
User PnL: -$16.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $659.99

Yes position

Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $346.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $322.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.68

No position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.5

No position

Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.73

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $100.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $93.4

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.89

Griekspoor position

Dubai Tennis Championships: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Bublik

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.14

No position

Will Trump say "Coal" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.08

Tallon Griekspoor position

Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Tallon Griekspoor

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.99

No position

Will Trump say "Gold Card" or "Trump card" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.34

No position

Will "Siri" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.98

No position

Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.37

No position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.53

Yes position

Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.5

No position

Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.58

No position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 1)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.34

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

No position

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $34.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 96.3% 297.25 shares
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Yes 81% 50 shares
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 30% or more?

No 99.1% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Up 30% 13.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Down 25% 17.02 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Down 29.4% 17.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Down 78% 8.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Down 62% 8.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Down 3% 166.67 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 93.3% 11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Up 9% 55.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Up 24% 20.83 shares