egrk

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $316.53
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.44K
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: $166.54

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $55
Potential payout: $909.09
Potential profit: $854.09
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $16.53
Potential payout: $826.31
Potential profit: $809.78
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$3.47

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.1%
Current value: $217.7
Potential payout: $621.12
Potential profit: $403.42
Multiplier: 2.85x
User PnL: $117.7

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $18.31
Potential payout: $345.4
Potential profit: $327.1
Multiplier: 18.87x
User PnL: -$3.69

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 21.9%
Current value: $70.26
Potential payout: $321.55
Potential profit: $251.29
Multiplier: 4.58x
User PnL: -$29.74

Yes position

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $211.11
Potential payout: $317.46
Potential profit: $106.35
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $11.11

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $196.77
Potential payout: $215.05
Potential profit: $18.28
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$3.23

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $150
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $22.41
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $108.87
Potential payout: $161.29
Potential profit: $52.42
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $8.87

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $56.43
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $86.43
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $6.43

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.6%
Current value: $100.05
Potential payout: $119.75
Potential profit: $19.7
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?

Ends Sep 11, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $54.49
Potential payout: $117.18
Potential profit: $62.69
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $4.49

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $49.37
Potential payout: $63.29
Potential profit: $13.92
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $18.18
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $42.42
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$1.82

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $30.62
Potential payout: $56.7
Potential profit: $26.08
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$19.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.54
Potential profit: $47.54
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.32
Potential profit: $40.32
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.33
Potential profit: $29.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $12.26
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $11.55
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $2.26

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $9.56
Potential payout: $17.54
Potential profit: $7.98
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $359.63

No position

Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $348.27

No position

Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.83

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.43

Yes position

Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.98

No position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.74

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.31

No position

Aleo airdrop by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.68

Yes position

Pavel Durov released in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.27

No position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.53

No position

Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.1

No position

Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $123.68

No position

Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.2

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.3

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.69

Yes position

Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.67

No position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.63

No position

Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.85

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Yes position

Will Trump say "MAGA" 3 or more times at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.67

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.84

Yes position

Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?