Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $744.73
- Potential payout
- $13.18K
- Potential profit
- $12.44K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$193.89
Polymarket Trader
yayyay
0x25d7bf5642fa4c4b90462c061a7c594a2e01c2bf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.34K
- Realized PnL
- $2.24K
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $345
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.66K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $45.01
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $7.29
- Potential payout
- $2.92K
- Potential profit
- $2.91K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$167.64
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $247
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $2.35K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$154
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $746.8
No position
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $195.51
No position
Will Tulsi Gabbard be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $157.3
No position
Trump formally nominates Matt Gaetz for AG?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.49
Yes position
Will Trump formally nominate RFK Jr. to the cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.64
Yes position
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
Yes position
Will Trump formally nominate Tulsi Gabbard to the cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.73
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60.01
No position
Will RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.06
Yes position
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.59
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31
Yes position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.35
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.3
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.17
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.01
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.35
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?Yes 18% 200 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?Yes 83% 400 shares
- Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?Yes 13% 750 shares
- Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?Yes 5% 2,000 shares
- Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Yes 67% 300 shares
- Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes 0.4% 2,199.97 shares
- Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes 28% 200 shares
- Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes 22% 200 shares
- Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Yes 64% 300 shares
- Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes 28% 499.99 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes 91% 500 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?Yes 11% 500 shares