Yes position
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $3.9
- Potential payout
- $35.66
- Potential profit
- $31.75
- Multiplier
- 9.13x
- User PnL
- $2.9
Polymarket Trader
0x25d8CEAac67ab03952F0A2B3bDA40d3100fF627d-1772907058015
0x25d8ceaac67ab03952f0a2b3bda40d3100ff627d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.61
- Realized PnL
- $28.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $5.34
- Potential payout
- $16.19
- Potential profit
- $10.85
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $11.25
- Potential profit
- $10.41
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.16
No position
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.2%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $6.49
- Multiplier
- 10.93x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $2.55
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.03
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $2.34
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.63
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.56
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $2.33
- Potential profit
- $1.48
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.27
- Potential profit
- $2.27
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.17
- Potential profit
- $2.17
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $2.08
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $1.92
- Potential profit
- $1.74
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $1.82
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.73
- Potential profit
- $1.73
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.72
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.3%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $1.55
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 1.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.47
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11
- Potential profit
- $1.11
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during events with Rutte?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Charles Oliveira position
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
No position
Will Trump say "Sleepy" or "Biden" or "Obama" 10+ times during TPUSA events on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will Melania say "Husband" or "Trump" during statement on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Iran strike Syria in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 20% 6.09 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes 48% 2.08 shares
- Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes 40% 3.03 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes 78% 1.28 shares
- Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes 33% 3.03 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Yes 81% 1.92 shares
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?No 14% 7.14 shares
- Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes 25% 4 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes 17% 5.55 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?Yes 46% 2.17 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes 18% 5.56 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Yes 52% 1.92 shares