Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $15.04K
- Potential payout
- $177K
- Potential profit
- $161.95K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$27.85K
Polymarket Trader
0x25db6cA5935ae858A5c1F2dCD5c62939805328dE-1770665598557
0x25db6ca5935ae858a5c1f2dcd5c62939805328de
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $27.41K
- Realized PnL
- $112.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.34K
- Potential profit
- $73.34K
- User PnL
- -$3.29K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.54K
- Potential profit
- $58.54K
- User PnL
- -$2.42K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.46K
- Potential profit
- $50.46K
- User PnL
- -$7.15K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.74K
- Potential profit
- $33.74K
- User PnL
- -$10.48K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.53K
- Potential profit
- $31.53K
- User PnL
- -$1.79K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.04K
- Potential profit
- $27.04K
- User PnL
- -$19.78K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.68K
- Potential profit
- $23.68K
- User PnL
- -$2.19K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.36K
- Potential profit
- $19.36K
- User PnL
- -$683.22
Y
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $3.61K
- Potential payout
- $18.05K
- Potential profit
- $14.44K
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.14K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.54K
- Potential profit
- $14.54K
- User PnL
- -$641.24
Y
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $5.52K
- Potential payout
- $13.29K
- Potential profit
- $7.77K
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $149.79
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.93K
- Potential profit
- $10.93K
- User PnL
- -$106.75
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $65.28
- Potential payout
- $10.04K
- Potential profit
- $9.98K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$244.82
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.2K
- Potential profit
- $7.2K
- User PnL
- -$580.91
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $3.09K
- Potential payout
- $6.31K
- Potential profit
- $3.22K
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $2.48K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.81K
- Potential profit
- $5.81K
- User PnL
- -$876.29
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.68K
- Potential profit
- $5.68K
- User PnL
- -$86.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.28K
- Potential profit
- $4.28K
- User PnL
- -$133.61
Yes position
Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $80.12
- Potential payout
- $4.22K
- Potential profit
- $4.14K
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$16.85
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.01K
- Potential profit
- $3.01K
- User PnL
- -$265.14
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.87K
- Potential profit
- $2.87K
- User PnL
- -$225.76
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.4K
- User PnL
- -$307.76
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$427.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.22K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.05K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $8.86K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.8K
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.24K
Yes position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.67K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92K
Yes position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.83K
Yes position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.61K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.56K
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $2.65K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.46K
No position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.28K
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15K
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.1%
- Multiplier
- 3.22x
- User PnL
- $1.86K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?Yes 2.3% 4,217 shares
- Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes 21.9% 900 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 23% 1,000 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?Yes 0.9% 417.29 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 26% 792.51 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 18% 40 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 18.2% 37 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?Yes 0.6% 1,678.33 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 11.3% 187.99 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?Yes 0.6% 419.59 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?Yes 1% 417.29 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?Yes 0.8% 605.65 shares