Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $235
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.77K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $75
Polymarket Trader
XieGuangKun
0x25dcf4635fe93082e0849fbbf81c95680cf5e33b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $79.07K
- Realized PnL
- $151.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 50
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $5.78K
- Potential payout
- $6.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $2.58K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $4.72K
- Potential payout
- $5.58K
- Potential profit
- $864.94
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $2.83K
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $3.99K
- Potential payout
- $4.29K
- Potential profit
- $300.36
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.68K
No position
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $2.76K
- Potential payout
- $4.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$175.4
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $1.7K
- Potential payout
- $4.06K
- Potential profit
- $2.35K
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $353.05
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Current value
- $626
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.37K
- Multiplier
- 6.39x
- User PnL
- $426
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $3.25K
- Potential payout
- $3.8K
- Potential profit
- $551
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $2.73K
No position
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $3.4K
- Potential payout
- $3.76K
- Potential profit
- $356.98
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $248.31
- Potential payout
- $3.48K
- Potential profit
- $3.23K
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- $116.16
No position
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $2.34K
- Potential payout
- $3.08K
- Potential profit
- $740.22
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $1.84K
Yes position
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $560.13
No position
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $2.96K
- Potential payout
- $2.99K
- Potential profit
- $22.39
- User PnL
- $734.79
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $2.06K
- Potential payout
- $2.96K
- Potential profit
- $904.2
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $891.53
No position
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $1.59K
- Potential payout
- $2.78K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $333.92
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.44K
- Potential payout
- $2.69K
- Potential profit
- $255.71
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.38K
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $2.47K
- Potential payout
- $2.65K
- Potential profit
- $176.07
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $940.3
No position
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $1.89K
- Potential payout
- $2.39K
- Potential profit
- $502.2
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $991.91
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.7%
- Current value
- $202.18
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- Multiplier
- 11.51x
- User PnL
- $98.44
No position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $1.66K
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $644.07
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $525.65
Yes position
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $801.57
- Potential payout
- $2.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$246.27
No position
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $2.19K
- Potential payout
- $2.28K
- Potential profit
- $92.44
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $153.65
No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $1.58K
- Potential payout
- $2.21K
- Potential profit
- $630.92
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $489.17
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $107.96
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.03K
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- $61.07
No position
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $762.27
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $278.84
No position
Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $1.7K
- Potential payout
- $2.09K
- Potential profit
- $386.14
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $71.35
No position
Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $1.94K
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $124.96
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $186.25
No position
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $1.6K
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $316.02
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $781.48
No position
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 60.3%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $735.93
- Multiplier
- 1.66x
- User PnL
- $530.34
No position
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $1.68K
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $166.75
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $368.7
No position
Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $1.17K
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $618.02
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$275.39
No position
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 71.4%
- Current value
- $1.23K
- Potential payout
- $1.72K
- Potential profit
- $492.07
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $827.47
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 71.6%
- Current value
- $1.22K
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $482.8
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $407.2
No position
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $193.24
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $427.52
No position
Will United Stables hit $3B in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $299.55
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $487.33
No position
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.54K
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $89.48
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $212.84
No position
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $249.43
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $403.88
No position
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.5K
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $87.45
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $406.76
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $150.46
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$492.06
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Current value
- $260.08
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- Multiplier
- 6.01x
- User PnL
- $200.42
No position
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $1.18K
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $362.41
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $592.73
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $1.11K
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $391.3
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- -$45.14
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $17.25
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$304.68
No position
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $353.53
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $424.24
No position
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 55.8%
- Current value
- $773.25
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $612.51
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $508.9
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $5.44
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$194.79
No position
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $921.98
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $423.97
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $238.88
Yes position
Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $966.45
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $366.59
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $253.24
No position
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $1.08K
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $252.91
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $503.38
No position
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $950.61
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $360.58
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$255.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.42K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.47K
No position
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.15K
No position
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.59K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.54K
Yes position
Ethereum flipped in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07K
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51K
No position
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48K
Gold position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14K
No position
Will Chainlink reach $20 in December?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3K
No position
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81K
No position
Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72K
No position
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66K
No position
Will Fartcoin hit $0.7 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54K
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54K
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in December?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34K
No position
Will Solana reach $150 in December?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29K
No position
Will XRP reach $2.60 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28K
No position
Will Solana reach $120 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
No position
Will Solana reach $150 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01K
No position
Will XRP reach $1.80 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
No position
Will Solana dip to $110 in December?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
No position
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76K
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
No position
Will Solana reach $100 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
No position
BNB all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
No position
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $983.14
No position
Ethereum all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $974.53
No position
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $971.96
Yes position
Will BNB dip to $800 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $933.1
No position
Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $890.93
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $875.53
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $870.56
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $774.06
No position
Pump.fun all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $754.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?Yes 11.4% 1,037.39 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 15.6% 1,699.71 shares
- Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?Yes 46% 44.96 shares
- Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?Yes 14% 1,104.31 shares
- Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 7.2% 278.71 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?Yes 48.8% 16.33 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?Yes 47.2% 113.66 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?Yes 45.3% 287.63 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?Yes 44.1% 164.8 shares
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?Yes 27% 180.59 shares
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?Yes 37.6% 126.38 shares
- Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?No 70% 209.39 shares