No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.62K
- Potential profit
- $46.62K
- User PnL
- -$46.62
Polymarket Trader
0x25dd8257Dab361986FC74B6d45017a8FA24B5941-1775147759716
0x25dd8257dab361986fc74b6d45017a8fa24b5941
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $174.73
- Realized PnL
- $404.32
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- User PnL
- -$130.46
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.44
- Potential profit
- $111.44
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.79
- Potential profit
- $93.79
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $5.75
- Potential payout
- $88.46
- Potential profit
- $82.71
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$19.25
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.96
- Potential profit
- $86.96
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $22.17
- Potential payout
- $86.96
- Potential profit
- $64.78
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $2.17
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $24.63
- Potential payout
- $74.63
- Potential profit
- $50
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $4.63
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $52.95
- Potential payout
- $70.13
- Potential profit
- $17.18
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $27.95
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $65.76
- Potential profit
- $65.43
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.67
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $57.89
- Potential payout
- $60.71
- Potential profit
- $2.82
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $27.89
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $59.65
- Potential profit
- $59.38
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$14.73
Yes position
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.99
- Potential profit
- $46.99
- User PnL
- -$25
BetBoom Team position
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.93
- Potential profit
- $41.93
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.77
- Potential profit
- $32.77
- User PnL
- -$19.99
No position
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$16.5
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.31
- Potential profit
- $28.31
- User PnL
- -$15
PARIVISION position
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $27.03
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $10.74
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $10.53
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.04
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.44
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.33
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.2
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.19
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.98
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.92
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.34
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.23
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.12
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.61
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.95
BetBoom Team position
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.81
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.72
Aurora position
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.11
Yes position
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.88
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.84
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- $5.8
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 46% 21.74 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 10% 50 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 23% 86.96 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 52% 38.46 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 34% 33 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 31% 48.39 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 38% 13.16 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes 3.6% 69.83 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes 34% 72.67 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 39.5% 40 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 42% 35.71 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes 3.5% 142.5 shares