Yes position
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $12
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $588
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Polymarket Trader
libanorix
0x25eb679737e3991a02b7d138542c73af80e20506
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $537.91
- Realized PnL
- $1.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $8.1
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $591.9
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$21.3
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $188.67
- Potential payout
- $524.07
- Potential profit
- $335.4
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$78.61
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $35.63
- Potential payout
- $475
- Potential profit
- $439.38
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$17.12
Yes position
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.50% and 6.99%?
Ends Jan 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $2.62
- Potential payout
- $262.38
- Potential profit
- $259.76
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$180
Yes position
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?
Ends Jan 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.3%
- Current value
- $46.88
- Potential payout
- $165.43
- Potential profit
- $118.55
- Multiplier
- 3.53x
- User PnL
- $37.35
Yes position
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be at least 7.00%?
Ends Jan 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $6.35
- Potential payout
- $149.3
- Potential profit
- $142.95
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $72.62
- Potential payout
- $117.13
- Potential profit
- $44.51
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$11.83
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.9%
- Current value
- $29.21
- Potential payout
- $113
- Potential profit
- $83.79
- Multiplier
- 3.87x
- User PnL
- -$13.79
Yes position
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?
Ends Jan 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $21.34
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $88.66
- Multiplier
- 5.15x
- User PnL
- $19.8
No position
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $67.5
- Potential payout
- $102.27
- Potential profit
- $34.77
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $2.77
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.39
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$13.6
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$20.4
Yes position
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$15.4
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59
- Potential profit
- $59
- User PnL
- -$34.81
Yes position
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
Ends Jan 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 31.7%
- Current value
- $15.97
- Potential payout
- $50.46
- Potential profit
- $34.49
- Multiplier
- 3.16x
- User PnL
- $9.11
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.4%
- Current value
- $12.17
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $37.83
- Multiplier
- 4.11x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$3.64
Yes position
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $18.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $31.75
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$15.25
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$2.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.79
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.32
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.6
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.87
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?No 66% 10 shares
- Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?No 95.9% 205 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?Yes 65% 20 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?Yes 12% 20 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Yes 57% 50 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Yes 61% 30 shares
- Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes 22% 30 shares
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Yes 25% 30 shares
- Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Yes 30% 50 shares
- Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?Yes 17% 40 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?Yes 15% 20 shares
- Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Yes 24% 20 shares