No position
Will John Mills be the Republican nominee for AL-01?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $21.48
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $2.52
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$2.28
Polymarket Trader
Elisesa4
0x25ec5248c603423fc50e0119e2f7e83be7645d13
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $36.3
- Realized PnL
- $13.19
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $14.82
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or higher on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$13.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
Will the US add more than 125k jobs in January?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 36-37°F on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 36-37°F on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will MrBeast's video get between 70 and 72 million views on day 3?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 32 and 34 million views on day 3?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 34 and 36 million views on day 3?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen win UMK 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will MrBeast's video get 70 million or more views on day 4?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Jon Bonck be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 67°F or below on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on February 16?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?No 99% 15 shares
- Will anyone say "Pickle" during Rick and Morty E5 S9?No 98% 19 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?No 97.4% 15 shares
- Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?Yes 99% 19 shares
- Will Alex De Paula be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No 99.8% 30 shares
- Will Alex De Paula be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No 99.9% 30 shares
- Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No 99% 15 shares
- Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?Yes 97% 19 shares
- Will Apple announce a new product line during the WWDC 2026 keynote?No 98% 18 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?No 99.5% 16 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?No 97% 16 shares
- Will Trump say "Iwo Jima" in May?No 99.9% 20 shares