Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.19
- Potential profit
- $21.19
- User PnL
- -$5.51
Polymarket Trader
Frosthaze
0x25ef8806ba0d89a2e09e7c32e33a1013cfb0ddc9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.42
- Realized PnL
- -$21.35
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $16.42
- Potential payout
- $19.32
- Potential profit
- $2.9
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- -$23.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 88% 19.32 shares
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to ScoreYes 50% 2,110 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.7% 744.57 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.8% 744.58 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 48% 181.96 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 61% 181.97 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 82% 8 shares
- Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 77% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 22?Yes 26% 20.37 shares