Yes position
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.49
- Potential payout
- $373.44
- Potential profit
- $371.94
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.72
Polymarket Trader
ToTheMoon0915
@ToTheMoon0915
0x25f4707c93e4bfdf26cd6c5cc46c5464691cf88e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $553.75
- Realized PnL
- $17.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $224.51
- Potential profit
- $224.51
- User PnL
- -$2.37
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $216.57
- Potential profit
- $216.57
- User PnL
- -$31.92
No position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $171.69
- Potential payout
- $172.9
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- User PnL
- $24.32
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $48.7
- Potential payout
- $149.85
- Potential profit
- $101.15
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $4.09
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $124.36
- Potential payout
- $127.88
- Potential profit
- $3.52
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $123.5
- Potential profit
- $122.39
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$15.92
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.16
- Potential profit
- $103.16
- User PnL
- -$15.73
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.28
- Potential profit
- $100.28
- User PnL
- -$3.61
Yes position
Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $90
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$8
Y
Yes position
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $15.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $84.5
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$46
Yes position
Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.2
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$11.2
Y
Yes position
Will Adriano Espaillat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 10% or more?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $18
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $82
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $12
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $88
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $95.91
- Potential payout
- $96.59
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- User PnL
- $27.4
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.42
- Potential profit
- $71.42
- User PnL
- -$33.28
Yes position
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $7.42
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $62.58
- Multiplier
- 9.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $66.04
- Potential profit
- $64.06
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- -$17.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.12
- Potential profit
- $65.12
- User PnL
- -$30.35
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Victim" during the next PMQ?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $33.16
- Potential payout
- $63.78
- Potential profit
- $30.61
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$21.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.05
- Potential profit
- $63.05
- User PnL
- -$18.3
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.88
- Potential profit
- $61.88
- User PnL
- -$19.8
Y
Yes position
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.9%
- Current value
- $10.61
- Potential payout
- $56.31
- Potential profit
- $45.7
- Multiplier
- 5.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $976.06
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $895.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $884.36
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $871.61
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $763.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $731.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $717.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $717.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $652.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $652.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $641.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $629.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $623.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $598.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $591.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $577.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $575.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $559.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $548.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $526.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $523.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $517.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 71.8% 33.88 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 65% 13.02 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 65% 7.54 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 64.2% 43 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No 80.4% 54.1 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No 80.9% 53.78 shares
- Will Starmer say "Victim" during the next PMQ?Yes 86% 20.71 shares
- Will Starmer say "Victim" during the next PMQ?Yes 85% 20.94 shares
- Will Starmer say "Victim" during the next PMQ?Yes 85% 20.94 shares
- Will Starmer say "Victim" during the next PMQ?Yes 84% 21.19 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?Yes 98.7% 72.22 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?Yes 98.7% 24.07 shares